Filed under: Editorial, Games | Tags: 2007 49ers, 49ers laughing stock, 49ers suck, alex smith, frank gore, jim hostler, mike nolan, san francisco 49ers
The 2007 San Francisco 49ers are not the laughing stock of the NFL. Yes, I said it. There are much more laughable matters at hand, to whit: the 2007 Miami Dolphins. At first it was chic to laugh at them for showing Florida for what it truly is: A place where old people go to die. In this case, it’s a place where old careers go to die. Witness Trent Green, recipient of many concussions, likely done after this year. The defense is old, and the franchise has no influx of youtful talent. They also traded away their best wide receiver, unless you really like Ted Ginn, Jr.
The 2007 Atlanta Falcons are the laughing stock of the NFL. A young rookie head coach who anticipated working with the multi-talented Michael Vick (and likely fixing his throwing mechanics which are worse than Vince Young’s), only to find himself embroiled in scandal after scandal. His players don’t trust him, he doesn’t trust his players, and they eke out a win against the hapless 49ers.
The 2007 New York Jets are a laughing stock, with living proof that the Quarterback rating is useless as a stat: Chad Pennington has the fifth-highest career passer rating in league history! The 2007 Cincinnati Bengals, well, really only the defense is a laughing stock (as well as supposed guru Marvin Lewis), while the offense seems to still be alive.
Meanwhile the 49ers are, along with the St. Louis Rams, more like the biggest head-scratcher in the NFL. The Defense seems to only have gotten better with additions Nate Clements, Michael Lewis, Marques Douglas, and rookie sensation Patrick Willis. The offense featured a quarterback entering his third year, a pro-bowl running back entering his third year, an offensive line that remained intact from the previous year, two veteran free agent pick-ups in the Wide Receiver corps, and rising star Vernon Davis completely healthy and ready for his breakout year.
No wonder preseason analysts predicted this team to be a surprise.
No wonder I cringed when I first heard it.
So the team is now coming off their sixth-straight loss, when last season their longest streak was three games. Immediately fans assume that the coaching must be to blame. Early on, criticism fell upon rookie Offensive Coordinator Jim Hostler, and he still retains a lot of that as he seems to find difficulty in adjusting his playcalling to events on the field. In hindsight, perhaps the hiring of Jim Hostler was a vast mistake, despite Norv Turner’s early departure leaving us precious few options. Nolan decided to keep his new hire in-house to maintain continuity. Small wonder a rookie Offensive Coordinator has trouble filling the shoes of a man many call an Offensive Genius. Troy Aikman was his, after all.
Right. So were Mark Brunell with the Redskins and Jay Fiedler/A.J. Feely with the Dolphins.
Fans, as well as Bay Area media, are clamoring for Mike Nolan’s firing or demotion, the scrapping of the entire offensive coaching staff, the drafting of yet another savior quarterback, the signing of some savvy veteran (who will end up like Trent Green or Steve McNair?), and/or countless other scenarios.
We’ve seen Mike Nolan go through growing pains before, and this is what’s happening to Jim Hostler. This is also happening to the team as a whole, because no one is living up to expectations. There were no real expectations to live up to last season when the 49ers went 7-9. Every win was a surprise, and a pleasant one. This was a team on the rise, and fans were close enough to smell 10-6 and the playoffs. But the team is inconsistent, and across the board they are defying expectations.
This season it started with the offensive line, with pass protection break ing down more often than not, and the vaunted running game stalled, which overflowed to the quarterback who was forced to throw more often, who in turn is reliant on his wide receivers to catch the balls. Now only a doofus would have said that Smith was making horrid throws in the first two games, or even against Pittsburgh, rather people were just dropping them. When Smith finally came back against New Orleans, he was obviously hurt and his throws were off. Now he comes back against Atlanta when he finally feels 100%, and his throws are off again. This of course, must be absolute proof of another #1 overall pick gone bust.
We know from beat writer Matt Maiocco that his footwork was not up to snuff against Atlanta, and we know from Smith himself that he was rushing his throws unnecessarily. He himself admitted to poor play, to getting his mechanics off due to thinking there was pressure when there was not, and just generally stinking up the joint. But other players succumbed as well. The Offensive Line and Michael Robinson were unable to get a push in one-yard situations. Though Alex Smith overthrew some great plays, his receivers continued to drop some as well. Though it seemed Hostler was bogged down with the run, his setup of the Bryan Gilmore play, by lulling the Atlanta Defense into clock-churning run defense, was absolutely perfect.
Plays have been there to be made all season long. Whether it’s a throw, a catch, a block, a hole to hit, a cut, a tackle, a coverage–whatever. The plays have been there, and despite the mantra of “Make the Play” coming out of the New Orleans game, players still failed to make the plays. They must start making the plays, bottom line. That is what it comes down to, and that is the most frustrating part of the deal.
People can cry about it all they want–and they have been–but even the best coaches can’t make a player make the plays. Players are paid to make the plays, but perhaps some people are right in that Nolan has refused to bench players who haven’t made the plays. When you’re a young team trying to build momentum, benching players oftentimes breaks a spirit rather than motivates it. It’s a fine line to walk, and none of us know the minds of the players in that locker room.
Let’s say this season is a bust. Where do the 49ers go from here? I think that Matt Maiocco is right when he says Jim Hostler will probably stay on next season for the sake of continuity, and Hostler continues to learn as the season progresses. I would say that they will more likely bring in an offensive consultant–-quality control, let’s say–-like a Jim Fassel or somesuch. Nolan could comfortably allow Fassel to mentor Hostler (as well as Smith) because even coaches need coaches, and perhaps Hostler needs that senior offensive mind to set him at ease. I think Nolan would be even more inclined to let the offense do its job without getting his input every time.
For now, I think we let the season play out, much as last year. At least this time there won’t be any expectations, and perhaps they can be the surprise team again. If not, no one will expect them next year, and I could do without such big expectations. Either way, I think the 2007 49ers will be a laughing stock.
Because I believe we’ll be able to look back on the season that was… and laugh.
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This is honestly the first blog I’ve found anywhere that Accurately describes the 49ers problems as well as the true remedies that are needed to fix their problems. Based on their conference all they need to do is get a couple of wins and they might find themselves stumbling into a wildcard spot. That being said, I think the only thing that would be a best case scenario here is not for Fassel to come in as a consultant but for the San Diego Chargers to continue losing. For all the 49ers do bad, the Chargers had one of the best records in Football last year with basically the same personnel on their team. Only change for them is the only change from our offense Norv Turner. It has to clearly say Turner is a prolific Hall of Fame Caliber Offensive Coordinator if there is such a thing, but he’s a horrible Head Coach. The 49ers could open light the scoreboard up last year given the talent they have this year, if they could get Turner calling the plays I think theyd’ be living up to expectations better than anyone could ask for. A rookie OC is clearly not what we needed this year. The 49ers should be willing to take him back with Open Arms if he can manage to get fired from San Diego.
Comment by AJ November 7, 2007 @ 11:02 pmFirst of all thank you for that very high praise! Not sure that I deserve it, but thank you very much.
Frankly I believe that from the New York game on, if the team had executed the plays as called on the field, we would not be looking at 2-6, we’d be looking at 4 or 5 wins at this point. I really don’t think Jim Hostler is the problem, and I think he’s getting a lot better. Certainly if we were 6-2 Hostler would not be taking the grief he has been.
The trouble with Norv’s return, number one, is that it is extremely rare for a coordinator to leave after one season, then return after the season absent. Number two, Norv did a very underhanded and insulting thing to Mike Nolan and this franchise when he left, so I don’t know how easy that would be to overcome. I think Nolan would take Jim Hostler as being loyal, and Norv having left his former Defensive Coordinator high and dry.
Comment by indianajim November 8, 2007 @ 4:33 amThere are 3 ways to fix this team. EXECUTION, EXECUTION AND EXECUTION.
Where this started? Larry Allen got fired from Dallas and he came in pissed last year, and he carried Jonas Jennings who is finished. This year Allen came into camp late and heavy. Now Allen can’t carry Jennings and the line sucks so no running game. 8 in the box and no time to throw. Now the line producing a little but the QB is naturally freaked.
Darrel Jackson is a good #2 Receiver but he needs a #1 to be useful.
Battle is a good #3.
Gore may or may not be a good running back. Allen may have been carrying him as well.
Willis Rocks.
Lawson Rocks
Clements Rocks
I like Keith Lewis because he’s the only guy who hurts anybody.
Harris is near the end.
Spencer is OK.
Bottom Line, not ALL of these guys decided to turn to crap in a single year. Darrel Jackson has been a VERY consistent 1000+ yard receiver aside from injury years.
If the line sucks, the offense sucks and now Alex has to get used to the fact that the washed up old men are gone and the young guys will actually get him a chance to trow from time to time.
After Monday night we will all be able to relax and see if this team can improve without any pressure, or any coverage, or anybody caring, because that’s the worst place to be in my opinion.
When they don’t even mention your team on football shows or just breeze over them. That’s the worst fate because nobody cares, then you can’t sell tickets and NO STADIUM.
At least they had the brains to bring back Roderick Green for a try. Should have happened 4 weeks ago.
Comment by Montana1 November 8, 2007 @ 6:28 amPS, Great, great article without all the dramatic hype.
Comment by Montana1 November 8, 2007 @ 6:31 amPSS, In my opinion Nolan just tells it exactly like it is, down to each missed opportunity.
I agree with both your comments, and thank you for the compliment. If I could reduce one thing in my life it would be drama!
I believe Frank is a very good running back. He has a great first cut, good speed, and he’s always pushing forward. At the point of contact his upper body is in front of his feet, which is what you want a back to do if he’s going to fall forward. I really think the issue with the running game has been not only making the blocks, but holding the blocks as well. I think if we put Wragge in place of Allen our running game would improve, because Larry’s legs are just gone.
Comment by indianajim November 8, 2007 @ 2:15 pmWhile I don’t like to admit it, I don’t have much faith in Alex Smith. Simply put, in order to be a successful NFL quarterback, you *have* to be an accurate passer. Period. And even with the dropped balls and protection breakdowns, we haven’t seen any consistent level of accuracy from Smith. Sure, he’ll have a few good throws here and there, perhaps amounting to a quarter or half of good play, but it never lasts. Unless something dramatic happens, my prediction is that he’ll be *at best* a Jake Plummer-type player and probably much worse. Regardless of this assessment, the only way to prove/disprove this is to draft and sign additional QBs next year to compete with Smith. Training camp *has* to be an open competition or we’re doomed.
More broadly, I think the problems on offense (and defense for that matter) stem partially from a complete lack of leadership. Losing Turner meant losing the only senior voice on that side of the building. Hostler’s new and still learning his craft. Alex Smith, nice as he is, doesn’t get in anyone’s face, doesn’t fire up the troops, and certainly doesn’t lead. If you want to look at a team that has recently undergone the same level of overhaul, check out the Packers. And, I think, their success is in large part due to having a leader on offense: Favre.
Lastly, I think the O-line problems are a case of everyone getting a little older and slower all at the same time (plus some bad coaching). I’m glad Jennings and Smiley are out; they should take Allen out, too, as he’s clearly lost a step. As much as Nolan professes his willingness to get rid of players who aren’t performing, these are a few who he should’ve canned at the end of last season.
Comment by Rice_and_Beans November 9, 2007 @ 7:54 amYou may not have much faith in Alex Smith, but about half the games last year were not good on his part, and the last two games this season make it real easy to criticize his accuracy. He was on target all night against Arizona, while receivers dropped at least five passes on 3rd down. He was 65% at St. Louis, and remember people were begging Hostler to throw the ball more, because he only had 17 attempts. Pittsburgh was one of his better games so far this season, while still getting drops on the other end, and a dumb play by Taylor Jacobs on the timing route that gave Smith the interception.
Regardless of how fans look at it, Alex Smith is the leader of the team. He doesn’t have to get in people’s faces. You look at Donovan McNabb, and he’s not an in-your-face kind of guy, but his team would follow him to Hell and back. Fans are by nature emotional, and when our team loses we get mad and we want everone else to be mad with us. Just because you don’t see what you want to see doesn’t mean Alex doesn’t lead.
There was no reason to “can” Jennings and Smiley after last season, because they paved the way for Frank Gore’s 1600 yards! Admittedly, they struggled early, but from the Baltimore game on, Smiley and Heitmann stepped up their play rather well. Larry Allen, though, has lost a step in his legs quite a bit, and Jonas Jennings is just a head case. You had to think that he was a pro and would get back to the way he played last season, that’s why you stick with guys. At this point, though, time to see if someone wants to trade for him.
Comment by indianajim November 9, 2007 @ 2:25 pmSome good points there, but we’ve really built a brittle team. When we signed Jennings, there were quite a few surprised expressions throughout the league, which were only proved true by his ongoing health issues. I’ll admit that canning him after last season would’ve been premature and a bit crazy, but yanking him earlier in the season would’ve been totally warranted. Couple his woes with the rest of the O-line, where we were a) *lucky* to get what we got out of Larry Allen last year, b) had a center trying to come back from a broken leg, and c) have a brand newbie in Staley, and you’ve got some serious problems. It’s easy to rationalize each individual decision; however, in aggregate, it’s been disastrous. (See Alex’s Smith’s shoulder and Gore’s so-so production.)
To me this illustrates a two simple facts: 1) the difference between mediocre and great teams can be deceivingly small, especially in the salary cap era, and 2) great coaches are those who see the nuances, get rid of players before it’s too late and approach their job in an aggressive, innovative fashion. This has been repeatedly demonstrated in the last 5-10 years, where various team’s fortunes have changed overnight by seemingly small changes. In the case of the 49ers, Nolan’s style of incremental progress and focus on structure, etc. seems to have its limits. There is no “sharp end” to our spear; we’ve built a team of “good” and “solid” players without any real dynamism (other than Gore). Nothing scares our opponents; nothing excites the fans. And while I really hope I’m wrong, I think Alex Smith fits squarely in the middle of the 49ers current lackluster bell curve. I think he has a 50/50 chance of being a good player and very little chance of being a great one. Can anyone honestly say they’ve seen a consistent or even semi-consistent string of good plays or games? I’ve seen a couple of good halves and quarters and a meager sprinkling of great plays. And if you look across the league at the better QBs, ALL of them showed some real sparks in their first year. And by years 2-3 they were REALLY starting to come on. (With the way the league is currently structured, 3-years is pretty much the outside allowable limit for growth, both for a team and for a player.) So it’s not hopeless for Smith (and the team), but the odds are getting longer.
Lastly, with regards to wanting Smith to get in players’ faces, our emotions as fans pull in both directions. We probably all overreact when the team does poorly, just as we’re overly hopeful and optimistic before the game/season. The problem in the current situation, though, is that this team has been rebuilding for 5 years now. I’ve been a fan since the mid 70s and have been with them through thick and thin, but this is a really, really low period. I’d take losing if there was some excitement; unfortunately, they’re crappy and really, really boring.
Comment by Rice_and_Beans November 10, 2007 @ 12:03 am